Analysis and forecast of environmental load in Russia

Gagik M. Mkrtchayn
1. Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia
2. Novosibirsk State University
econom@lab.nsu.ru
Tatyana O. Tagaeva
1. Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia
2. Novosibirsk State University
to-tagaeva@rambler.ru
Yuliya O. Tsvelodub
1. Novosibirsk State University
yula-ts@mail.ru
The material was received by the Editorial Board: 03/11/2016
Abstract
The article presents an analysis of modern issues of environmental pollution in the Russian Federation: growth of the pollutants concentration in the atmosphere, decrease in the quality of water growth in the annual production and consumption waste generation etc. The authors present the load forecast for water and atmospheric resources as well as projected trend of waste production for a period of 2016–2020, obtained using dynamic interindustry model with ecological block Based on the forecast it is concluded that the growth of the environmental load will remain, and in order to prevent it the development of state ecological policies is required.

Keywords
environmental conditions, air emissions, wastewater discharge, production and consumption waste generation, ecological forecast, state ecological policies.



References
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References: Mkrtchyan G., Tagaeva T., Tsvelodub Yu. Analysis and forecast of environmental load in Russia. World of Economics and Management. 2017, vol. 17, no. 1. P. 57–69. DOI: 10.25205/2542-0429-2011-11-1-57-69