Economic dynamics under heterogeneous adaptive learning: aggregate economy sufficient conditions for stability

Anna S. Bogomolova
Scopus Author ID: 56377538500
1. Novosibirsk State University
anna.bogomolova@cerge-ei.cz
Dmitriy V. Kolyuzhnov
Scopus Author ID: 55940049500
1. Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering SB RAS, Novosibirsk, Russia
2. Novosibirsk State University
d.koliuzhnov@g.nsu.ru
The material was received by the Editorial Board: 21/01/2020

Abstract

We provide sufficient conditions for stability of a linear structurally heterogeneous economy under heterogeneous learning of agents, extending the results of Honkapohja and Mitra (2006), Kolyuzhnov (2011), and Bogomolova and Kolyuzhnov (2019). Sufficient conditions for stability under heterogeneous mixed RLS/SG learning for four classes of models: models without lags and with lags of the endogenous variable and with t or t-1- dating of expectations, are provided for the cases of the diagonal structure of the shock process behaviour or the heterogeneous RLS learning and are presented in terms of structural heterogeneity and are independent of heterogeneity in learning. The results are based on the negative diagonal dominance approach and are provided, first, in terms of the existence of the weights for aggregation of endogenous variables and of expectations across agents, interrelated in a special way, and then in terms of the E-stability of a suitably defined aggregate economy. The fundamental nature of the approach adopted in the paper allows one to apply its results to a vast majority of the existing and prospective linear and linearized economic models (including estimated DSGE models) with adaptive learning of agents.

Keywords: adaptive learning, stability of equilibrium, heterogeneous agents

Funding:

This paper was prepared within project XI.170.1.1. “Innovative and Ecological Aspects of the Structural Transformation of the Russian Economy amid a New Geopolitical Reality”, 2019 RAS SB IEIE research plan, no. АААА-А17-117022250127-8.


References:

  1. Bogomolova A. S., Kolyuzhnov D. V. Economic Dynamics under Heterogeneous learning: General Criteria and Sufficient Conditions for Stability. World of Economics and management, 2019, vol. 19, no. 4, p. 87–103. (in Russ.) 
  2. Honkapohja S., Mitra K. Learning stability in economies with heterogeneous agents. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2006, vol. 9 (2), p. 284–309. 
  3. Johnson C. R. Sufficient conditions for D-stability. Journal of Economic Theory, 1974, vol. 9, p. 53–62. 
  4. Kolyuzhnov D. V. Conditions for stability of economic dynamics under heterogeneous learning of economic agents. Vestnik NSU. Series: Social and Economics Sciences, 2011, vol. 11, no. 1, p. 70–81. (in Russ.) 
  5. Kolyuzhnov D. V., Bogomolova A. S. Short review of DSGE modeling. In: Alekseev A. V., Kazantseva L. K. (eds.) Innovatsionnyj potentsial ekonomiki Rossii sostoyanie i perspektivy [Innovative potential of economy of Russia: state and prospects]. Novosibirsk, IEIE SB RAS Publ., 2013, p. 298–318. (in Russ.) 
  6. Juillard M. Dynare: A program for the resolution and simulation of dynamic models with forward variables through the use of relaxation algorithm. CEPREMAP, Couverture Orange, 9602, 1996. 
  7. Slobodyan S., Wouters R. Learning in an estimated medium-scale DSGE model. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012, vol. 36, p. 26–46. 
  8. Giannitsarou Ch. Heterogeneous learning. Review of Economic Dynamics, 2003, vol. 6, p. 885–906. 
  9. Bogomolova A. Essays in Heterogeneous Learning. Dissertation for the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy. Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education (CERGE-EI), 2014. 


References: Bogomolova A. S., Kolyuzhnov D. V. Economic dynamics under heterogeneous adaptive learning: aggregate economy sufficient conditions for stability. World of Economics and Management. 2020. vol. 20, no. 1. P. 128–153. DOI: 10.25205/2542-0429-2020-20-1-128-153