Risk and Uncertainty in the Russian Model of Management

The paper examines the attitude to uncertainty and risk within the Russian model of management by
A. P. Prokhorov. It is shown that the attitude is determined by the dual nature of this model. The Russian
management system in its mobilization phase easily copes with the uncertainty and allows risky decisions.
In the stable phase, the Russian model rejects risk, and security, understood as maintaining the achieved
state, becomes a priority. A risky situation is a type of uncertain one when the occurrence of possible
events is probable and can be estimated. In this situation, it is possible to assess the likelihood of events re­
sulting from the influence of the natural environment, the actions of partners, opponents, etc., which can­
not be done in a situation of uncertainty, and this is the key factor that distinguishes between risk and u n ­
certainty. We define risk as an integral indicator that combines assessments of both the probabilities of
implementing a solution and the quantitative characteristics of its consequences. Thus, risk management
presupposes, first of all, a conscious and rational choice. Since changing the national model of manage­
Keywords: management theory, culture, rationality, values, methodology, society, organizatio.